The Easy Way to Test Currency Exchange Systems
Anyone who has been around the forex market for over a couple of mins knows that you always have to test currency exchange systems before you go live with them. Whether or not the system incorporates guarantees, even if you got it from a top trader who makes millions with it, you have got to know that it’ll work for you.
So why do systems such as Forex Twister work for some folk and not others? Many folks actually find this quite hard to believe. They imagine there’s one perfect system out there that fits everybody and could make us all into millionaires if only we knew how to get a hold of it. But that idea is a complete fantasy.
There are many reasons why a system might suit some folk and not others. It could involve some ability like translating a complicated mix of indicators that some people will handle with no trouble while others cannot get their heads around it regardless of how hard they try. It might be to do with risk : the system could involve going to a quantity of risk which would be way outside some people’s’s comfort sectors, leading them to either subvert the system or make mistakes because of the level of stress.
So you should test and you can do this in more than one way. The best option is to perform at least two sorts of testing which you can do at the same time.
First you may use backtesting. Here you take your system and work out on paper how well it might have done on the recent historical market, i.e. The last half a year or whatever period you select. This does not take too long as you can swiftly scroll through historical charts looking for the signals that would have led you to make a trade if you had been operating your system live at that point.
Backtesting should give you an idea of whether a system has potential. Of course the market is not going to copy in precisely the same way so you should take into account the indisputable fact that you might have struck lucky or unlucky and picked a time when the system performed abnormally well or badly.
For this reason, it is best to backtest over the longest possible time and maybe split your tests so that instead of testing, for instance, one entire year when the market should have been particularly strong or puny, take the 1st quarter of year 1, the second quarter of year two, etc so that you test one 3-month period from each year of 4 years. This gives you a good period spread without requiring you to cover 4 whole years.
The second way to test forex systems is in a demo account. Here you are working with the live market but not using real money. This method is slower because you have got to wait for your signals to come up for real . On the other hand, it simulates real live trading techniques with the possibility of slippage and other factors which aren’t gong to turn up in back testing.
Remember that you can test several systems at the same time in a demo account, provided you keep separate records of their performance. Or you can use many demo accounts. In this fashion you have a better possibility of ending up with at least one moneymaking system at the end of your period of testing.
Foreign exchange demo accounts also have the advantage that you are developing your live trading skills and familiarity with a software platform and charting service at the same time as you are running your tests. This gives you solid real time training to prepare you for the present when you go live with real money. Most foreign exchange brokers will supply free demo accounts which you can use to test foreign exchange systems.